It has long been recognized that while flight delay causes passenger delay, the quantitative relationship between these two forms of delay is non-linear. For example, a connecting passenger may arrive at their destination on time despite a delay to the first flight in their itinerary, or alternatively be delayed several hours or even overnight if the delay to the first flight results in a misconnection. There is, however, a paucity of data available to quantify the relationship between flight delay and passenger delay. In this talk, we present an analysis of a unique data set provided by an airline partner of the Center for Air Transportation Resilience (CATRes), a University Leadership Initiative dedicated to making the air transportation system more resistant to operational disruptions. Our immediate goal is to use this data to develop a model that can estimate passenger delay from widely available data on flight delay. A variety of analytical techniques, some classical and some more modern, are used to predict misconnections and the resulting delays to passengers, passenger delays from cancellations, and other passenger outcome variables based on flight delay data. Finally, we contextualize this effort within the broader CATRes research program and overview a number of the other CATRes research initiatives.
Prof. Mark Hansen
Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Berkeley
Mark Hansen graduated from Yale with a Bachelor’s degree in Physics and Philosophy in 1980, and has a PhD in Engineering Science and a Masters in City and Regional Planning from UC Berkeley. Since joining the Berkeley faculty in 1988, he has led transportation research projects in urban transportation planning, air transport systems modeling, air traffic flow management, aviation systems performance analysis, aviation safety, aviation environmental analysis, and air transport economics.
About Air Time by NAMS-2
Air Time is a series of seminars on advanced aviation hosted by Crown Innovations, Inc., in collaboration with the University of California’s CITRIS and the Banatao Institute. The seminars feature leading experts on cutting-edge research who share interesting ideas on pertinent topics and innovative methodologies. Air Time speakers include subject matter experts from UC Berkeley, Merced, Davis, and Santa Cruz. The seminars take place weekly.
Crown Innovations, Inc. is the prime contractor for the NASA Academic Mission Services 2 (NAMS-2) contract. Contact the program management at nams2pmo@crownci.com for more information or to arrange a collaboration in your field.